New population projections suggest Melbourne could grow by 83% to 10.3 million in 2061 (28 November 2013)

Latest population projections for Australia released yesterday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics suggest that Melbourne and Victoria will continue to accommodate strong population growth over the coming 50 years.

The statistics released by the ABS forecast that according to projection series B (medium growth) Melbourne’s population is expected to surpass Sydney’s by 2053, and reaching 8.6 million by 2061. Victoria’s population is also expected to continue to grow strongly from 5.6 million in 2012 to 10.3 million in 2061 an increase of 83%.

The projections also indicate that under Series A (high growth) Melbourne could be Australia’s most populated city by as early as 2030.

If more conservative assumptions are used, Melbourne will still face significant population growth. The Series C projection (low growth) is still expected to realise a city of 7.6 million people by 2061.

The new population projections for Victoria and the other States of Australia are available at the ABS’ website here.